Monday, 12 November 2012

Results 5th to the 11th November

These are in no particular order, just how I find them on my spreadsheet.

All results are

DATE         P&L FOR THE DAY    B/F.

50/50 SERVICE
This is a service run by a chap I came across by luck.   Run by Paul Fowlie.
I use a 10% liability of bank ratchet system.
What i like is that selections are sent out at 6-6.30 am, so I can lay the selection at BSP 1st thing and forget.
For those who work 9-5 it's an great feature.  If I do go back to traditional employment in 2013 I'll maintain this service for that very reason.
No complaints for the week:-)

£1000 BANK

05/11/2012 £27.22 £1,027.22
06/11/2012 £76.63 £1,103.85
07/11/2012 £17.60 £1,121.45
08/11/2012 £8.35 £1,129.80
09/11/2012 £115.93 £1,245.73
10/11/2012 -£83.89 £1,161.84
11/11/2012 £23.27 £1,185.11

SLOW HORSE, by the same author.  2 selections (slow period for the service but a great return for the two selections).

£1000 BANK

05/11/2012 £0.00 £1,000.00
06/11/2012 £0.00 £1,000.00
07/11/2012 £0.00 £1,000.00
08/11/2012 £91.00 £1,091.00
09/11/2012 £0.00 £1,091.00
10/11/2012 £0.00 £1,091.00
11/11/2012 £0.00 £1,091.00

PROBALL CLUB BETTING SERVICE
http://proballclub.co.uk/

I know a lot are interested in this.   I made a small mistake, well if I am honest, I was simply stupid, I knew what I was doing.   I basically added 5 services (2 x Football, golf, horses, & tennis) without increasing my bank.  As I only started to formally record results this week it will skew my results were this is not included.
In short, my portfolio is now fixed for 6 months, how can I learn anything if I am not consistent.

Anyway, to the service!!!

GOLF

£2500 BANK

05/11/2012 £0.00 £2,762.50
06/11/2012 £0.00 £2,762.50
07/11/2012 £153.12 £2,915.62
08/11/2012 £0.00 £2,915.62
09/11/2012 -£80.00 £2,835.62
10/11/2012 £5.00 £2,840.62
11/11/2012 -£265.50 £2,575.12


using £25 EW and £50 back on 2/3 balls

TENNIS

£2500 BANK

05/11/2012 £0.00 £2,641.24
06/11/2012 -£100.00 £2,541.24
07/11/2012 £0.00 £2,541.24
08/11/2012 £0.00 £2,541.24
09/11/2012 £45.47 £2,586.71
10/11/2012 -£100.00 £2,486.71
11/11/2012 £0.00 £2,486.71


£100 back bets

FOOTBALL DOUBLE CHANCE

£2500 BANK

05/11/2012 £0.00 £2,300.00
06/11/2012 £25.00 £2,325.00
07/11/2012 £0.00 £2,325.00
08/11/2012 £116.80 £2,441.80
09/11/2012 £0.00 £2,441.80
10/11/2012 £95.07 £2,536.87
11/11/2012 -£73.50 £2,463.37


£50 back bets

HORSE LAYS

£1000 BANK

05/11/2012 £28.15 £1,028.15
06/11/2012 £23.67 £1,051.82
07/11/2012 £0.00 £1,051.82
08/11/2012 £90.92 £1,142.74
09/11/2012 -£112.66 £1,030.08
10/11/2012 -£112.23 £917.85

10% liability

FOOTBALL LAYS

£5000 BANK (£300 LIABILITY)

05/11/2012 £0.00 £4,745.51
06/11/2012 £0.00 £4,745.51
07/11/2012 £0.00 £4,745.51
08/11/2012 -£140.00 £4,605.51
09/11/2012 £0.00 £4,605.51
10/11/2012 -£109.47 £4,496.04
11/11/2012 -£599.82 £3,896.22


A grim week in isolation for me, but one week is nothing and the published results (that show the bad times as well as the good times) are solid.

SPORTYY

My dear Sportyy service, 

my best performing service

£5000 BANK

05/11/2012 £96.22 £5,179.52
06/11/2012 -£127.00 £5,052.52
07/11/2012 £0.00 £5,052.52
08/11/2012 £0.00 £5,052.52
09/11/2012 £0.00 £5,052.52
10/11/2012 £107.50 £5,160.02
11/11/2012 £117.27 £5,277.29

Stakes are a % of bank as advised by Sportyy.

just keeps delivering.

TENNIS DESIRE

£2500 BANK

quiet as you would expect

05/11/2012 £0.00 £2,526.72
06/11/2012 £16.80 £2,543.52
07/11/2012 £0.00 £2,543.52
08/11/2012 £0.00 £2,543.52
09/11/2012 £0.00 £2,543.52
10/11/2012 £1.00 £2,544.52
11/11/2012 £2.00 £2,546.52


£100 back bets

WINNING RACING TIPS

£3000 BANK

Another one that just keeps delivering.

stakes are advised by Paul.

05/11/2012 £0.00 £3,512.03
06/11/2012 £0.00 £3,512.03
07/11/2012 -£40.00 £3,472.03
08/11/2012 £0.00 £3,472.03
09/11/2012 £0.00 £3,472.03
10/11/2012 £273.00 £3,745.03

WINNING RACING SYSTEM

£2350 BANK

FAV'S @ £20 pints x £50
NH @ 50 points x £15
2 yo @ £60 points
Paul's sister service (however, they have little to nothing in common).

I remain hopeful based on past results.

05/11/2012 £105.00 £2,118.30
06/11/2012 -£15.00 £2,103.30
07/11/2012 -£86.03 £2,017.27
08/11/2012 -£80.00 £1,937.27
09/11/2012 -£130.00 £1,807.27
10/11/2012 -£70.00 £1,737.27
11/11/2012 -£115.00 £1,622.27

If, and this is the same for any service my bank hits 50% for that service I will 1/2 the stakes until the bank doubles back to the original.

One system wiped out the other.

CD SYSTEMS PROBET

1500 BANK

£75 STAKES

05/11/2012 £93.75 £1,672.73
06/11/2012 -£75.00 £1,597.73
07/11/2012 -£75.00 £1,522.73
08/11/2012 -£75.00 £1,447.73
09/11/2012 -£75.00 £1,372.73
10/11/2012 -£75.00 £1,297.73
11/11/2012 -£75.00 £1,222.73


I have far longer exposure on this system.   Please look at the website for the bigger results picture.   It's as good as it gets.  Weekly reporting can distort*.  

*I'll also do a monthly report on the bog

CD SYSTEMS FREE SERVICES

FOOTBALL £1200 BANK

£100 BACK BETS

-£50.00 £1,164.62
£32.06 £1,196.68
£50.00 £1,246.68
£75.00 £1,321.68
£70.00 £1,391.68
£50.00 £1,441.68
-£100.00 £1,341.68


NH  £375 BANK
£15 STAKES

£0.00 £375.00
£16.50 £391.50
-£15.00 £376.50
-£15.00 £361.50
-£15.00 £346.50
-£15.00 £331.50
£50.00 £381.50


STABLE INSIDER
£750 BANK & £30 STAKES

£0.00 £750.00
£82.50 £832.50
£165.00 £997.50
-£30.00 £967.50
-£30.00 £937.50
£172.50 £1,110.00
£0.00 £1,110.00


CD SYSTEMS BARGAIN
This is another of my favorite services
£1500 BANK, £30 STAKES

05/11/2012 -£30.00 £970.00
06/11/2012 £135.00 £1,105.00
07/11/2012 -£30.00 £1,075.00
08/11/2012 -£30.00 £1,045.00
09/11/2012 -£30.00 £1,015.00
10/11/2012 £420.00 £1,435.00
11/11/2012 -£30.00 £1,405.00


ZERO HYPE BANKER
£1000 BANK
£50 WIN BACK BETS

05/11/2012 -£50.00 £951.66
06/11/2012 -£100.00 £851.66
07/11/2012 -£50.00 £801.66
08/11/2012 £0.00 £801.66
09/11/2012 £0.00 £801.66
10/11/2012 -£100.00 £701.66


It's a long term system but this week, like the one's you can see above added to the pain:-(

ON THE OCHE
£5000 bank
stakes as recommended.

05/11/2012 £0.00 £5,321.10
06/11/2012 £0.00 £5,321.10
07/11/2012 £0.00 £5,321.10
08/11/2012 £0.00 £5,321.10
09/11/2012 £0.00 £5,321.10
10/11/2012 -£24.34 £5,296.76
11/11/2012 -£155.20 £5,141.56

I am finding the service as of late frustrating, but it is in profit!!  Long term results are very good.   Funny, I also think it's great when the value approach goes our way:-)

SUMMER OF FOOTBALL
£3000 BANK
£150 STAKES

SOF after what can only be described as a fantastic run is struggling at the moment (last week really hurt, this week just hurts).   For some reason I do not worry about this service.  I do think it will pull back.

05/11/2012 £137.61 £2,367.64
06/11/2012 £0.00 £2,367.64
07/11/2012 £0.00 £2,367.64
08/11/2012 £0.00 £2,367.64
09/11/2012 £37.50 £2,405.14
10/11/2012 -£308.50 £2,096.64
11/11/2012 -£45.21 £2,051.43


IBETVALUE
£5000 BANK
5% OF BAL LIABILITY
Not good, this is three losing bets on a lay service on the bounce.
BUT to put it into context, follows 29 winning ones!   Just wasn't a member then:-(

05/11/2012 £0.00 £4,741.79
06/11/2012 £0.00 £4,741.79
07/11/2012 £0.00 £4,741.79
08/11/2012 £0.00 £4,741.79
09/11/2012 £0.00 £4,741.79
10/11/2012 -£234.00 £4,507.79
11/11/2012 -£222.60 £4,285.19


AHC TIPSTER

£5000 BANK
STAKES AS ADVISED (% OF FIXED BANK)

The Football curse continues

05/11/2012 £0.00 £4,905.96
06/11/2012 £40.00 £4,945.96
07/11/2012 £0.00 £4,945.96
08/11/2012 £0.00 £4,945.96
09/11/2012 £30.50 £4,976.46
10/11/2012 -£251.00 £4,725.46
11/11/2012 -£253.75 £4,471.71

at on average £50 a bet you can see the strike rate!

The service is not cheap at £80 a month but once you join you do not pay another subscription util you are £300 in -profit (based on a £10k bank).   However, over on Sports Tipster you can see that this service has a long term good return.  

SCOTTISH FOOTBALL BETS
£3500 BANK, £100 POINT
stakes as advised.

Football curse continues

05/11/2012 £0.00 £3,707.02
06/11/2012 £0.00 £3,707.02
07/11/2012 -£100.00 £3,607.02
08/11/2012 £0.00 £3,607.02
09/11/2012 £0.00 £3,607.02
10/11/2012 -£100.00 £3,507.02

PROBANDIT
£1500 BANK
£10 POINT

05/11/2012 £0.00 £1,818.06
06/11/2012 -£61.60 £1,756.46
07/11/2012 -£1.50 £1,754.96
08/11/2012 £148.00 £1,902.96
09/11/2012 -£41.56 £1,861.40


Now, I was tempted not to include this one (and the last one)

POLISH BETS
Bets from the SBC forum
This lad is either very very good, or it is beginners luck:-)

£1250 BANK,
£50 bets

05/11/2012 £0.00 £1,521.07
06/11/2012 £0.00 £1,521.07
07/11/2012 £0.00 £1,521.07
08/11/2012 £0.00 £1,521.07
09/11/2012 £137.00 £1,658.07
10/11/2012 £177.00 £1,835.07
11/11/2012 -£50.00 £1,785.07

My bank and returns

Overall, for the week.

A net loss of £1645
£590 -profit for 49 days betting.

I can mange until the end of the year but I do need to see a good recovery if I am to make a living from it.

Comments

Not really a true reflection with the addition of Proball Betting Club in the last week
let us see what the rest of the month brings.

Hopefully this is a low point and it can only get better.




When times are hard

This weekend has been horrendous.  On Friday night I was feeling the mental strain of a losing run and by yesterday afternoon I honestly felt as low as I can ever imagine.  Why?

I need this to work, it is now my sole income.  

Even though I have not eaten into my bank but only used up profits it hurts far more than when it was just a secondary income.

There's nothing out of the ordinary with this draw down.  Everything is within normal deviation, I was just woefully mentally unprepared.  

Anyway, I move on.

CD Systems

Can I make one recommendation that people look at

http://www.cdsystems.uk.com/index.htm

It's web page on CD Systems website that covers sequences.   For me anyway, it helps to rationalise things.

To read requires a free registation.  There's lots of other sound advise to be found on the site.

Also, remember, sequences work both ways i.e. winning and losing.

Anyway, on to my weeks performance....

Friday, 9 November 2012

Next up-date on Monday

It did not take long to realise that a daily blog... well, probably spreading it a bit thin.
I will have the full blog (major bit of writing) + graphs (Rowan).
It will be exciting.
A bit like financial Dallas.

Also, I have found that 3 of my major tipsters have trades that float for a few days and knacker my daily up-dates so once a week (Monday's) will be better reporting accuracy.

Also, on Monday i will explain why I started and dropped a tipster in a week.   I think people who do this are stupid, i.e,. starting a tipster takes a lot of research, so why would you drop it after a week?

Thursday, 8 November 2012

Wednesday, 7 November 2012

Wed 7th, results and musings

I'm out tomorrow morning so I am totting up the results tonight.
I do not like doing this (daytime totting up:-)), why?
Checking the results and adding the winnings/ losses is an emotional drain when extended throughout a day instead of one batch.
If I win, I want to hold on to the winnings or extend.
If I am down I am watching every race/game to see if i have recovered or worsened the position.
It is a new blog, so I will ride it out today.  When I am rich and famous my readers will have to wait:-)

And off we go.

Favorite Lays, a worthy start for the blog, why, because after a proven track record, I join and after 8 days I am 14pts down.  However, I have a cup of tea, plug my brain in and it's just a losing sequence.  The average will reassert itself.  Discipline & order is called for.   Today   -3.5 pts.  I wish I was a Vulcan. Spock, do you hear me?

Probandit/ Hybrid, Call it flat.  Unlucky.

CD Bargain, -1 pt

CD Probet - 1 pt

ZH Banker - 1pt.

50/50 +0.176 pts.

WRS  -1.6 pts.  Fav's not running to plan

WRT -0.4 pts.

CD Footy  +1 pt

Scottish Football Bets  - 1pt

Overall, down £322 for the day.

I wish I had gone on holiday on Friday to somewhere without Wi Fi.



Emotions & Yesterday's results

Although I have kept records for a  few months, they have been recorded in what I call a 'jotter pad', everything is there, just not that easy to analyse.
From the 24/09 I have recorded everything.   Initially in the 'jotter pad', but the morning after I up-date a detailed spreadsheet.
For some reason I had come to the conclusion that earnings would be smooth.....

  • Week 1     +£1605   I did a little dance that Sunday.  I multiplied this by 4 and estimated a steady £6k a month, easy.....
  • Week 2    +£33
  • Week 3    +52
  • Week 4   -£192
  • Week 5   + £1227
  • Week 6    - £551  and that was after being £1000 up on the Friday.  -£1600 on the Saturday and Sunday.
I followed the tipsters exactly the same each day. Not exactly a smooth ride.

I cope (just) by looking at the long term results and if I dig deep I know that I will have great months and poor months but overall, if the past is at least some guide to the future I should make money over a longer period.

I am also relieved that after 6 weeks that I am £2175 in profit and not an overall loss.  That is less fees of nearly £600.   I cannot live off that return, but I do hope that the average earning per month will increase and I know over time I can get the subscription costs down by speaking to the vendors and negotiations a long term package.

What I will say is that I did hit a new profit high of £3800 before I received the big punch on the nose over the weekend.   The data within the sheet is too limited for now to draw any conclusion but over time I hope to make decisions based on the information recorded.   It's data in the real world, to the best of my ability.  

Anyway, to move on to the results;

CD Probet    -1 pt
CD Bargain  +9 pts (a win was due:-)
Sportyy  -2 pt
Tennis Desire + 0.17 pts  (this would have been a negative but the last tip duplicated the Sportty selection so I did not place it).  
CD Football + 0.64 pts
ZH Banker -2pts
50/50 service +0.77 pt.
WRS - 1pt (NH)
Proball Tennis -1 pt
Proball DC +0.5 pt
Proball LTD I did not place the bet as the odds were near to 10, way to high for me on a LTD
Proball Horses (lay) + 0.23 pt
Probandit Hybrid, -6.16 pts
AHC +0.8 pt
Fav Lays -2.87 pts

Overall loss for the day -£106.65

Tuesday, 6 November 2012

Results write up Tuesday 06/11/12

Well, I am knackered.   3 month old up at 3am, watching fishing and car makeover programs until 8 am and can wake the wife without feeling guilty (she had been up most of the night).

Summer of Football, +0.92 pt a well deserved win yesterday.   SOF even with the recent very manageable draw down remains in my top 3 services.  In fact, if I had not been a member I would join now.  Human nature being what it is, I imagine a few members have bailed out so that is good for the steadfast members to gain stable odds for longer after the tips are released.

Zero Hype Banker.   1 pt loss.   Just seem to be treading water at the moment.  Probably an achievement in itself with the changeover from flat to NH.

CD Systems Bargain.   1 pt loss.  You will get longer losing streaks with this service, but with good bank management this only just misses out on my top 3.

CD Probet.   +1.875 points.    Top 3 service.   Steve just seems to consistently deliver.  

CD Footy.  - 1 point.   I have only just started following this each day.

WRS.  Fav's + 1.25 pts, NH + 2.5 pts.

WRT.   - 0.4 points.   A bread and butter service (I do love it).   Just misses out on a top 3.  I'd go as far as to say this is 3.1 position.

WRS is a new release and historically looks to have great potential.   To date it had a dip and looks to be recovering, as of now I remain confident that this will deliver the goods.

SPORTYY, + 2 points.   In short since 24/09 my bank was up 40%.   I am not saying this will go on forever and Sportyy has had losing sequences like every one else (16 in July), but this service for me is No. 1 and a long term keeper.

Probandit.   Call it break even.   This is a fairly new service for me, but delivered will in October and you may laugh I am working on 30 points a month as an average:-)  No doubt I'll need to replace my top 3 with a top 5!

As always please drop me a comment if you have any questions.